TA: Bitcoin Holds Uptrend Support, What Could Trigger Sharp Decline
Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $41,000 resistance against the US Dollar. BTC is struggling near $41,500, but it is still above the $40,000 support.
- Bitcoin is trading well above the $40,000 support zone.
- The price is trading above $39,800 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
- There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near $40,050 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
- The pair could start a sharp decline if there is a clear move below the $39,000 support.
Bitcoin Price Remains Supported
Bitcoin price remained below the $41,500 resistance level. BTC formed a high near $41,470 and is currently moving lower. There was a decline below the $41,000 level.
The price also traded below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $39,311 swing low to $41,470 high. However, the price is still trading well above $39,800 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
It is trading near the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $39,311 swing low to $41,470 high. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support near $40,050 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.
Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com
On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $41,000 level. The next major resistance could be near the recent high or $41,500. A successful break and close above the $41,500 level might start a steady increase. In the stated case, the price might rise towards the $42,000 level. Any more gains might send the price towards the $42,500 level in the near term.
Downside Break in BTC?
If bitcoin fails to clear the $41,500 resistance zone, it could continue to move down. An immediate support on the downside is near the $40,350 zone.
The next major support is seen near the $40,000 level and the trend line. The main support is still near the $39,000 zone and the 100 hourly simple moving average. A downside break below the $39,000 support zone could start a sharp decline. In this case, the price may perhaps decline towards the $37,500 level.
Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone.
Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level.
Major Support Levels – $40,000, followed by $39,000.
Major Resistance Levels – $41,000, $41,500 and $42,500.